Muhammad Azhar Ehsan
Climate scientist. Forecaster. Storyteller of a changing planet.
I study how the oceans and atmosphere shape our climate — from El Niño to the South Asian monsoon — and how we can predict their swings to help societies prepare for what comes next.
Understanding and predicting our climate
My research sits at the intersection of climate dynamics, prediction science, and real-world application — turning physics into forecasts, and forecasts into action.
ENSO & Tropical Variability
Dynamics of El Niño–Southern Oscillation, the Indian Ocean Dipole, and how tropical oceans shape global climate.
Monsoons & Regional Climate
South Asian and African monsoons — drivers of variability, predictability, and impacts on water and food systems.
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction
Improving forecasts on the weeks-to-months horizon using multi-model ensembles (NMME, SubX, S2S, C3S).
AI for Earth System Prediction
Machine learning and foundation models for understanding predictability and skill.
Forecast Applications
Translating predictions into actionable information for agriculture, water, health, and disaster risk.
Decadal Variability
Interannual-to-decadal climate variability and windows of opportunity for prediction.
Let's collaborate
I'm open to research collaborations, talks, mentoring, and projects that bring climate science closer to the people who need it most.